Cagliari VS AC Milan

The timing of the first goal will be crucial for HDP outcomes. An early AC Milan goal could open the match significantly, forcing Cagliari to abandon their deep defensive shape and increasing the likelihood of Milan covering a larger handicap. Conversely, if Cagliari manage to keep the score level into the second half, the pressure shifts onto Milan, and the value may favor the underdog on a positive line. In conclusion, AC Milan are rightly favored due to their superior quality and attacking consistency, making them a strong option on moderate negative handicaps. However, Cagliari’s defensive discipline at home means large handicap lines carry some risk. From an HDP perspective, AC Milan -1 appears reasonable, while Cagliari +1.5 may appeal to those expecting a low-scoring, tightly controlled match.