Turkey vs Italy Tips and Predictions O/U Max Statman

UEFA Nations League

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Turkey

Italy

Further Reading

Neal Mike

Turkey have shown impressive, proactive form in their recent outings, playing at a fast, intense pace across both ends of the pitch. Their aggressive high press in the final third sees them average 11.9 tackles over their last 5 matches, and they regularly create clear goalscoring chances directly from that coordinated frontline pressure. Their opponents, by contrast, rely heavily on a mix of wide and central attacking combinations, with pacy wide players capable of both dangerous crossing and sharp cutting-in runs, while their set-piece offense also poses a tangible threat. They put in strong, committed work on defense to maintain high overall pitch pressure, but their habit of pushing too far up the field leaves large exposed gaps behind their backline. They struggle to track back in time to deal with quick counter-attacks, and have also made occasional unforced errors when defending set pieces. The mounting points pressure in the UEFA Nations League group stage looms large for two E

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UEFA NL Turkey - Italy
The Touchline | 𝐓

The home side has ramped up their attacking tempo significantly in recent home fixtures, averaging 18 attacking sequences across their last three home outings, with each possession lasting just 25 seconds — 3 seconds faster than their average on the road. They have created 4 goal-scoring opportunities through swift transitional attacks in those three matches. The visiting side, by contrast, excels at disrupting opponents' rhythm when playing away. Across their last four away games, they have forced opponents to spend an extra 5 seconds per attacking possession on average, with their back line completing 9 tactical fouls per game to break up flowing attacking moves. They have even prevented opponents from scoring via fast breaks entirely in their last three fixtures. The head-to-head collision between the home team's blistering attacking pace and the away side's proven rhythm-slowing defensive strategy will act as the core dynamic that shapes the entire flow of this match.

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UEFA NL Turkey - Italy

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Alexandre de Quadros

Head-to-head records between these two historically strong European football nations show a slight overall disadvantage for the home side. In their recent meetings, Italy have proven their outstanding control over the pitch. One of their past away fixtures against Turkey saw Italy cruise to a 3-0 clean win, with a corner kick count of 8 to 2 that fully reflected their absolute advantage in offensive pressure and game rhythm management. Turkey once suffered a narrow 2-3 loss to Italy when hosting the Azzurri in another past encounter. Even with a close score that kept the game competitive all the way, Italy's stronger finishing ability made the difference at the final whistle. Head-to-head records show the two sides have played out multiple low-scoring draws on Italian soil in past friendly encounters, with fiercely contested midfield battles reflected in nearly even corner counts across those fixtures. Italy has held clear psychological advantages from these past meetings, and their pe

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UEFA NL Turkey - Italy

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Both sides involved in this UEFA Nations League fixture are stuck in a prolonged poor run of form, turning this contest into a hard-fought battle where the only meaningful prize at stake is team pride. Latvia fell to a 0-2 away loss against Armenia in their most recent Nations League match, managing just two corner kicks over the full 90 minutes, with clearly underwhelming output in both ball control and attacking phases. Across their last 10 outings, Latvia has posted a notably low win rate, with their only two wins in that stretch both coming against Gibraltar. All other matches ended in draws or defeats, including a 0-1 loss to Faroe Islands in an international friendly, and a 1-1 stalemate with Lithuania in the Baltic Cup. I’ve noticed Latvia carries clear, long-standing defensive weaknesses when going up against stronger sides, as proven by their heavy losses in past qualifying campaigns. Even though they once grinded out a 2-2 home draw against Andorra to display decent fightin

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UEFA NL Latvia - Cyprus
Home advantage has long been a key boost for Georgia in recent competitive fixtures. The side has shown impressive resilience in their latest Nations League outings, even after a narrow 0-1 loss to Northern Ireland in their most recent run. They dominated large stretches of the second half of that game, finishing with a lopsided 9-1 corner count that perfectly illustrates their consistent attacking pressure in the final third. Across their prior three matches, they have racked up an outstanding 2 wins and 1 draw, including a 2-0 friendly triumph over Bahrain, and a hard-fought 1-1 home draw against Romania. They will look to carry that solid momentum into this upcoming Nations League clash against a strong Ukraine side. Georgia has repeatedly shown impressive fighting spirit when hosting stronger visiting sides, most notably a 3-0 home thrashing of Bulgaria during the European qualifying rounds, though their 0-4 heavy loss to elite powerhouse Spain laid bare obvious defensive vulnerabi

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Stakes around league positioning are far more than trivial here, as this fixture acts as a critical litmus test for both sides’ recent competitive form. Looking at Sweden’s overall performance across all competitive matches, they register a 40% win rate, paired with 30% draw and 30% loss rates, pointing to a well-balanced yet slightly conservative overall playstyle. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 20 across these outings, for a negative goal difference of -1. Their per-game averages land at 1.9 goals, 3.4 corner kicks, and 1.1 yellow cards. Most notably, their home form is impressively dominant, with a perfect 100% win record on their home turf. Even though aggregated overall statistical records list their total win rate at 60%, factoring in the clear performance gap between home and away fixtures, their overwhelming home dominance is clearly evident. Sweden’s recent home form has been nothing short of dominant, riding a six-game unbeaten streak where they have scored 13 g

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UEFA NL Sweden - Poland

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Turkey VS Italy