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    Football> Community> GoalwireHQ>

    Armenia VS Montenegro

    UEFA Nations League
    Analysis More Tips
    Armenia
    Armenia
    Montenegro
    Montenegro
    Looking at the underlying performance metrics of both sides in this Nations League group, clear gaps in their on-pitch execution are easy to spot. Armenia records an 18.3% conversion rate for attacking finishes across full matches, far higher than Montenegro’s 14.7%, with their expected goals per game hitting 0.92 compared to Montenegro’s 0.65, which signals far more consistent attacking threat. While Montenegro edges out Armenia with a 61% success rate on key passes versus the latter’s 54%, their overall final-third pass creation value only stands at 9.3, slightly lower than Armenia’s 12.7. Armenia also holds the edge in midfield control, averaging 12.3 interceptions per game against Montenegro’s 9.8, and their transition counter speed hits 1.8 times per minute, faster than Montenegro’s 1.4. Their full-team total running distance reaches 112.4km per fixture, with 43 high-intensity sprints recorded, both metrics higher than Montenegro’s 108.6km total running and 37 high-intensity sprints, reflecting a far higher collective work rate across 90 minutes.
    Further Reading
    • Jiayang Wang
      Jiayang Wang
      Armenia has posted a clear upward trend in their recent form, with their steady, impressive performances obvious to all observers. Montenegro, on the other hand, has seen fluctuating results of late: their games have produced plenty of goals, while their defensive output has stayed at a solid level. Looking at their past head-to-head records, the two sides have claimed wins over each other on multiple occasions, with Armenia holding a slight overall edge. Montenegro have also had their share of strong showings, but they lack sufficient competitive experience, which was evident in their unstructured, unhurried play even when trailing at halftime in recent matches. This is set to be a highly engaging clash, as both sides will fight to bring their full strength to the pitch and secure the final victory.
      AH
      UEFA NL Armenia - Montenegro
    • Bryon Prince
      Bryon Prince
      Armenia’s last 10 competitive outings return 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, but the arrival of a high-caliber new player has pushed their recent form into a strong upward trajectory, pointing to a fiercely competitive clash ahead. Montenegro’s corresponding 10-game record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, meaning the two sides are fairly closely matched in overall strength. Armenia have turned in steady, reliable performances across their recent run, with their attacking output looking particularly sharp, and they have proven solid goal-scoring ability on home turf. Montenegro, however, are still dealing with an incomplete squad and lack consistent points-gathering capacity. It remains to be seen if their trademark tough, physical defensive system can keep its usual high standard in this fixture. Looking at the recent attacking output of both sides, we are likely to see a high-scoring contest here. Armenia has posted 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across their last 10 outings, bu
      O/U
      UEFA NL Armenia - Montenegro
    • Gavinwang
      Gavinwang
      Armenia, hosting this UEFA Nations League tie, has struggled badly for consistent positive results across all recent competitive fixtures. They hold only a 20% win rate, an equal 20% draw rate, and a staggering 60% loss rate, metrics that lay bare the huge difficulties the side is currently navigating. Their attacking and defensive stats paint an even clearer picture of their struggles: across all recent outings, they have scored a mere 8 goals while conceding 23, ending up with a negative goal difference of 15. That averages out to just 0.8 goals per game, a clear sign that their forward line lacks sufficient firepower to pose sustained, consistent threats to opposing defenses. Armenia’s supposed home advantage is barely tangible, with only a 28.5% win rate across all their home fixtures, paired with a 42.8% defeat rate. They have scored 7 and conceded 11 on home soil, averaging over one goal against per game, with obvious flaws in their defensive solidity. Montenegro, by comparison
      O/U
      UEFA NL Armenia - Montenegro
    More Tips
    • The stark gap in attacking efficiency stands out as the most notable factor in this Nations League clash. I always stick to data-driven analysis to deliver accurate, reliable match assessments. Georgia holds a clear edge in finishing quality, with an 18% attacking conversion rate far above Ukraine's 12%, and their expected goals output reaches 0.74 per 90 minutes, compared to Ukraine's mere 0.48. In passing metrics, Georgia's key pass success rate hits 62%, outperforming Ukraine's 55%, and their final-third passes carry far greater threat with a value of 1.23 against Ukraine's 0.89. They also dominate the midfield battle, averaging 14 tackles and 9 interceptions per game, with a transition speed of 1.8 times per minute, faster than Ukraine's 1.3 times. Their physical output is also superior, as Georgia completes 42 high-intensity sprints per match, 15% more than Ukraine's total.
      O/U
      UEFA NL Georgia - Ukraine
    • I’ve dug into the key pre-match stats for this Nations League fixture to break down the two sides’ respective competitive edges. Northern Ireland boasts a 12% higher finishing conversion rate than Hungary, with an expected goals per game figure of 1.8, far exceeding Hungary’s 1.2. Hungary’s key pass success rate stands at a mere 41%, while Northern Ireland notches 18.7 high-value final-third passes per 90 minutes, demonstrating far more cohesive attacking organization. In the midfield battle, Northern Ireland averages 14 tackles and 8 interceptions per match, with a transition speed 1.2 seconds faster than their opponents, which puts them in full control of the game’s tempo. The two sides record nearly identical total running distances, but Northern Ireland completes 15% more high-intensity sprints, pointing to a clear advantage in physical reserves.
      O/U
      UEFA NL Northern Ireland - Hungary
    • Offensive efficiency stands out as the most obvious gap between the two sides in this Nations League clash. From the data I have sorted, France holds an 18% attacking finishing conversion rate, far higher than Belgium's 12%, with its expected goals (xG) reaching 1.8, 0.5 ahead of the opponent. In terms of final-third passing quality, France completes 42 effective progressive passes at an 89% success rate, while Belgium only hits a 74% success rate in the same metric. France also edges out Belgium in midfield control, averaging 11 interceptions per game, 3 more than their rival, which supports their faster transition speed after winning back possession. The French squad also records a total average running distance of 112km and 17 high-intensity sprints per fixture, both stats better than Belgium's corresponding performance.
      AH
      UEFA NL Belgium - France
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