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    Football> Community> GoalwireHQ>

    New York Red Bulls VS St. Louis City

    USA Major League Soccer
    Analysis More Tips
    New York Red Bulls
    New York Red Bulls 0
    1 St. Louis City
    St. Louis City
    I rely on verified on-pitch performance data to support all my match analysis, and the full stat comparison between these two MLS teams shows New York Red Bulls hold a distinct edge across almost all key dimensions. Their finishing conversion rate hits 18.3%, far higher than St. Louis City's 14.1%, while their 0.72 expected goals per attack efficiency (against St. Louis' 0.55) demonstrates far more clinical attacking output. New York also records a 62% success rate on key passes, well above St. Louis' 51%, and their attacking third pass value of 12.7 is far more threatening than the rivals' 9.3 mark. In midfield contests, New York wins back possession 18 times per game on average, with a 1.8-second transition speed that outpaces St. Louis' 2.3 seconds. Their total team running distance reaches 112.4km, 2.6km more than their opponents, and they complete 47 high-intensity sprints versus St. Louis' 35, highlighting a clear physical advantage. Defensively, New York's 14 tackles, 9 interceptions and 6 clearances all outperform St. Louis' 9, 6 and 3 respectively. They have created 23 total scoring chances, with a 15.2% conversion rate better than St. Louis' 11.8%, and their total expected goals of 1.27 against 0.91 further confirms their stronger overall attacking potential.
    Further Reading
    • Kingofbet88
      Kingofbet88
      New York Red Bulls and St. Louis City meet at Sports Illustrated Stadium in the 2026 MLS regular season on September 26. Red Bulls are eighth in the Eastern Conference with 33 points from 26 matches, while St. Louis are third in the West with 44 points. Over the previous two seasons, Red Bulls finished seventh in the East with 47 points in 2024 and tenth with 43 points in 2025. St. Louis finished 12th in the West in 2024 before dropping to 13th in 2025 with 32 points. Recent form is the clearest contrast. Red Bulls beat NYCFC and Columbus but also drew with Seattle and lost to LAFC and Philadelphia. St. Louis, meanwhile, beat Toronto, Minnesota and Vancouver while drawing with Portland in their last five MLS matches. The recent head-to-head record is balanced. Their three latest meetings were friendlies: Red Bulls won 3-1 in January 2026, St. Louis won 1-0 in 2025, and the teams drew 2-2 in 2024. This does not provide a decisive historical edge. The major factor is St. Louis' 18-m
      AH
      MLS New York Red Bulls 0-1 St. Louis City
    • Radio Pluto
      Radio Pluto Won 10/16
      The New York Red Bulls hold a clear edge across nearly all key attacking metrics in this MLS matchup. Their 18.3% finishing conversion rate is far higher than St. Louis City's 14.1%, with an expected goals (xG) efficiency of 0.78 against the visitors' 0.59 that underlines their sharpness in the final third. Their 62% success rate on key passes, plus a 12.4 value rating for final-third passes (compared to St. Louis' 9.8), also proves their far more fluid, efficient build-up play. In midfield, the Red Bulls average 112 completed passes per game at an 89% success rate, with a transition speed of just 1.8 seconds per turnover that lets them turn defense into attack far quicker. Their total team running distance hits 112.3km per match alongside 15 high-intensity sprints, indicating far better physical reserves than their opponents. Defensively, they average 14 tackles, 9 interceptions and 6 clearances per 90 minutes, with an interception efficiency of 3.2 times per 90 minutes that effective
      O/U
      MLS New York Red Bulls 0-1 St. Louis City
    • Nikhil Kumar
      Nikhil Kumar Won 4/4
      New York Red Bulls, the 8th-placed side in MLS' Eastern Conference, have turned in highly inconsistent performances throughout the current campaign. Across 26 matches played so far, they have recorded 9 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses for a total of 33 points, with a win rate sitting at only 34.6%. Their home form is especially worrying: in 12 home fixtures to date, they have notched just 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats, bagging 18 goals while conceding 23 to post a -5 goal difference, with a home win rate as low as 33.3%. This data clearly points to their glaring lack of attacking penetration on their own turf. They will welcome Western Conference third-placed St. Louis City to their home ground for this clash, which pits a mid-table Eastern outfit against a top-tier Western contender, and will act as a direct test of both sides' recent competitive form and on-pitch tactical execution.
      AH
      MLS New York Red Bulls 0-1 St. Louis City
    More Tips
    • Looking at the latest performance metrics of both sides, Atletico Nacional holds a clear edge across nearly all key statistical dimensions. Across their last 5 matches, they average 4.2 shots on target per game, with an 18.6% finishing conversion rate that outshines Atletico Junior's 14.3%. Their expected goals efficiency hits 1.82 per 90 minutes, compared to Junior's mere 1.35. Nacional also posts a 62% success rate on key passes, with an attacking value of 1.73 from final-third passes, both better than Junior's 55% and 1.41 respectively. In midfield battles, Nacional averages 12.4 tackles and 8.7 interceptions per game, with a transition speed of 1.8 seconds after winning back possession, far quicker than Junior's 9.1 tackles and 13 seconds per turnover. Their total running distance per game reaches 118.3km, with 12.6 high-intensity sprints on average, all leading Junior's 112.4km total running distance and 9.3 high-intensity sprints by a noticeable margin.
      O/U
      COL D1 Atletico Nacional Medellin - Atletico Junior Barranquilla
    • Levante has demonstrated remarkable strength in set - piece attacks. Their tactical designs are flexible and diverse. They have an edge in aerial duels and excellent finishing abilities in front of the goal. By delivering accurate crosses and having players make well - coordinated runs, they often pose significant threats, which has become a crucial scoring means for their offensive end. On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao has been in great form in their recent four away games. They've consistently performed well in terms of statistics. Their tactical execution and control of the game during away matches are commendable, showing a stable adaptability to different pitch conditions and opponents' playing styles.
      AH
      SPA D1 Levante - Athletic Bilbao
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